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The noise is deafening. The signal is rare.

Decision-ready work for governments, agencies, diplomatic missions, and investors who must act before the window closes.

Thousands of news articles per day. Think tank papers weekly. Embassy cables monthly. Social media by the second. None of it is structured. None of it is graded. Almost none of it distinguishes between what is known, what is inferred, and what is speculated.

Core Group exists to cut through this.

Convergence is the platform that operationalizes our analytical method. Multiple epistemically distinct domains, triangulated. When they converge, confidence is high. When they diverge, the divergence itself is the analysis.

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The Assessment · 14 July 2026 · On camera

Recognition Now, Withdrawal Deferred

Reading the Trilateral Framework between Lebanon, Israel and the United States: a text that grants Israel recognition on signing day and conditions any withdrawal on a disarmament the Lebanese state cannot compel. Three analysts, fourteen minutes, and the full assessment.

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We grade our own forecasts, in public, including the ones we get wrong.

542claims scored
272resolved
9 of 9Palestine, missed
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Core Group is a Beirut-based strategic foresight house.

We read the Levant from inside it. Our work supports governments, diplomatic missions, and strategic investors who need to act before the decision window closes.

Dr. Bassel Al Hasan
“Most analysis of Lebanon reads like it was written for someone who has never been here. We write for the people who have to decide, and we write with the assumption that they already know the headlines.”
Dr. Bassel Al Hasan
Chief Executive Officer

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